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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92+5.50vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.80+1.94vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.96+1.20vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.52+1.18vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.26+3.54vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.16+0.83vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83+0.25vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University-0.84+0.98vs Predicted
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9Columbia University0.43-0.76vs Predicted
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10Fordham University-0.35+0.52vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.07-4.67vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-3.68vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College-0.27-2.70vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.79-1.89vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology-1.32-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.927.6%1st Place
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3.94Georgetown University1.8020.4%1st Place
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4.2Cornell University1.9617.9%1st Place
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5.18Old Dominion University1.5211.8%1st Place
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8.54U. S. Naval Academy0.264.2%1st Place
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6.83University of Pennsylvania1.165.9%1st Place
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7.25St. Mary's College of Maryland0.836.4%1st Place
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8.98Christopher Newport University-0.843.5%1st Place
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8.24Columbia University0.433.9%1st Place
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10.52Fordham University-0.351.9%1st Place
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6.33George Washington University1.077.6%1st Place
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8.32U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.294.3%1st Place
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10.3SUNY Maritime College-0.272.5%1st Place
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12.11Princeton University-0.791.3%1st Place
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12.78Rochester Institute of Technology-1.320.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deana Fedulova | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Emily Doble | 20.4% | 16.8% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 17.9% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Conde | 11.8% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Linnea Forsberg | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 1.8% |
| Adra Ivancich | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Lina Carper | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Laura Smith | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 3.2% |
| Eva DeCastro | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Lauren Murray | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 9.6% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 9.3% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 22.6% | 28.9% |
| Kristen McDonough | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 10.8% | 18.9% | 42.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.