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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.61+5.63vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.71+7.21vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+0.32vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.58+2.82vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.74+1.35vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.21-0.99vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina1.32+3.27vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-2.60vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.05-0.54vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.50+0.15vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.60-4.23vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-4.28vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University0.85-1.45vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.33-6.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.63Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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9.21Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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3.32University of Rhode Island3.840.3%1st Place
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6.82George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.35Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.01Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.27University of South Carolina1.320.0%1st Place
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5.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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8.46Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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10.15Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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6.77College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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7.72University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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11.55North Carolina State University0.850.0%1st Place
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7.34U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adelaide Ferguson | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Amanda Attardi | 2.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 9.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 26.7% | 19.5% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
| Sarah Williams | 12.2% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Margaux Bacro-Duverger | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 18.4% | 19.5% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 11.5% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Victoria McGruer | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 4.5% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 17.4% | 15.8% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Simone Staff | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 3.9% |
| Kara Wheeler | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 11.9% | 17.4% | 38.9% |
| Hannah Hughes | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.