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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+4.38vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.21+2.72vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.74+3.30vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.84-0.64vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.05+3.50vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.60+0.85vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.71+2.11vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.33-0.55vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.58-2.19vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.61-3.22vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-3.26vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.50-1.98vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina1.32-2.54vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University0.85-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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4.72Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.3Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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3.36University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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8.5Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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6.85College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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9.11Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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7.45U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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6.81George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.78Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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7.74University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.1%1st Place
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10.02Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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10.46University of South Carolina1.320.0%1st Place
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11.54North Carolina State University0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosalind Lesh | 9.6% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Williams | 13.3% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Rachel Bryer | 24.5% | 21.1% | 15.4% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 5.8% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 0.6% |
| Amanda Attardi | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 9.4% |
| Hannah Hughes | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Simone Staff | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 3.1% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 15.9% |
| Margaux Bacro-Duverger | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 19.6% | 19.2% |
| Kara Wheeler | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 18.5% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.