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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+6.51vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+3.25vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.21+1.83vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.60+2.74vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.58+1.86vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.71+3.54vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.61-0.58vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.84-4.62vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.74-2.64vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.50+0.14vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.05-2.56vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.33-4.43vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University0.85-1.45vs Predicted
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14University of South Carolina1.32-3.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.51University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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5.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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4.83Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.74College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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6.86George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.54Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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6.42Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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3.38University of Rhode Island3.840.3%1st Place
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6.36Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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10.14Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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8.44Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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7.57U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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11.55North Carolina State University0.850.0%1st Place
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10.42University of South Carolina1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simone Staff | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 11.9% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Williams | 13.1% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Amanda Attardi | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 11.6% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Rachel Bryer | 25.7% | 20.5% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 17.5% | 16.1% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 4.8% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% |
| Kara Wheeler | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 17.8% | 38.7% |
| Margaux Bacro-Duverger | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 14.9% | 18.9% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.