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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+2.29vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.74+4.01vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.33+4.26vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.60+2.45vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.85+5.80vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.05+1.86vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-1.87vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.21-3.36vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-1.63vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.58-3.61vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina1.32-1.29vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.61-5.50vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.50-3.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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6.01Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.26U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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6.45College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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10.8North Carolina State University0.850.0%1st Place
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7.86Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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5.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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4.64Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.37University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.1%1st Place
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6.39George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.71University of South Carolina1.320.0%1st Place
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6.5Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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9.59Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 24.9% | 21.4% | 15.6% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Kara Wheeler | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 18.5% | 42.4% |
| Victoria McGruer | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 5.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 11.2% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 13.0% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Simone Staff | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 4.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Margaux Bacro-Duverger | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 15.6% | 17.4% | 20.6% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 20.8% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.