Race 5A

charleston-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Hannah Hughes 6.0% 4.1% 7.1% 7.7% 8.7% 8.4% 9.5% 9.0% 9.6% 11.0% 9.5% 6.8% 2.6%
Rebekah Schiff 7.0% 6.9% 9.2% 7.9% 10.6% 8.3% 11.0% 9.2% 8.4% 10.0% 6.6% 4.0% 0.9%
Miranda Bakos 6.0% 7.2% 9.2% 9.2% 7.9% 9.8% 9.6% 10.5% 10.0% 8.5% 5.9% 5.0% 1.2%
Rachel Bryer 25.0% 21.4% 14.6% 13.4% 8.6% 7.0% 5.0% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
Victoria McGruer 5.0% 4.8% 4.4% 7.8% 6.4% 5.9% 7.5% 8.4% 11.0% 11.7% 11.4% 11.8% 3.9%
Sarah Williams 13.4% 14.8% 12.9% 12.0% 10.1% 11.0% 7.4% 6.3% 5.3% 3.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Mary Kate Mezzetti 10.1% 8.3% 9.1% 8.3% 10.5% 11.0% 8.5% 9.5% 8.0% 6.9% 5.7% 3.1% 1.0%
Adelaide Ferguson 7.0% 8.8% 8.7% 7.5% 9.2% 10.3% 9.1% 9.3% 10.9% 6.9% 7.1% 3.9% 1.3%
Rosalind Lesh 10.2% 11.6% 10.5% 11.3% 12.3% 10.2% 9.6% 7.3% 5.3% 6.5% 3.1% 1.8% 0.3%
Anna Huebschmann 2.7% 3.0% 2.9% 3.4% 4.1% 3.9% 5.3% 6.7% 8.6% 9.9% 13.9% 18.5% 17.1%
Simone Staff 5.3% 6.3% 7.2% 6.9% 7.4% 7.8% 10.8% 10.8% 9.5% 8.8% 9.8% 5.6% 3.8%
Kara Wheeler 0.8% 1.3% 1.2% 2.3% 1.5% 2.8% 2.4% 3.7% 6.0% 5.5% 10.5% 18.0% 44.0%
Margaux Bacro-Duverger 1.5% 1.5% 3.0% 2.3% 2.7% 3.6% 4.3% 6.5% 6.0% 9.9% 14.3% 20.8% 23.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.