Race 6A

charleston-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Mary Kate Mezzetti 8.0% 8.0% 9.0% 10.7% 10.3% 9.9% 9.8% 9.4% 7.8% 7.9% 5.0% 3.6% 0.6%
Adelaide Ferguson 7.0% 7.2% 9.3% 8.7% 8.5% 11.1% 9.4% 9.6% 8.5% 9.6% 6.2% 3.7% 1.2%
Rosalind Lesh 9.2% 12.7% 11.6% 11.2% 10.8% 10.3% 10.6% 6.9% 7.0% 4.7% 3.3% 1.6% 0.1%
Hannah Hughes 5.5% 6.1% 5.2% 7.2% 10.2% 6.5% 8.9% 11.3% 10.0% 10.1% 9.8% 6.2% 3.0%
Rebekah Schiff 7.9% 7.4% 9.7% 8.6% 8.0% 9.0% 8.9% 10.9% 10.8% 7.3% 6.2% 4.2% 1.1%
Miranda Bakos 6.9% 7.4% 9.5% 9.0% 9.0% 9.5% 10.2% 9.1% 9.3% 6.9% 7.3% 5.2% 0.7%
Rachel Bryer 25.5% 20.4% 16.7% 12.0% 7.9% 7.9% 4.5% 3.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Anna Huebschmann 2.0% 3.1% 3.3% 3.6% 3.7% 4.3% 4.8% 6.1% 9.4% 10.8% 14.4% 18.9% 15.6%
Simone Staff 5.6% 6.1% 4.7% 7.0% 8.6% 6.9% 8.9% 9.4% 11.1% 10.5% 10.4% 6.8% 4.0%
Victoria McGruer 5.1% 4.1% 4.1% 5.1% 7.7% 7.9% 7.7% 9.0% 10.3% 10.3% 11.8% 10.5% 6.4%
Sarah Williams 14.7% 14.5% 12.7% 13.1% 10.8% 10.1% 7.5% 6.5% 4.6% 2.8% 1.3% 1.1% 0.3%
Kara Wheeler 0.9% 1.2% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6% 2.7% 3.6% 3.8% 4.0% 6.9% 10.0% 18.2% 43.9%
Margaux Bacro-Duverger 1.7% 1.8% 2.6% 2.2% 2.9% 3.9% 5.2% 4.8% 6.1% 11.8% 14.0% 19.9% 23.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.