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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.74+5.22vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+3.23vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.61+3.65vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.84-0.62vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.21+0.01vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.60+0.86vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.58-0.50vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.33-0.52vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.05-0.56vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.50+0.13vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-3.30vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.71-2.57vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University0.85-1.42vs Predicted
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14University of South Carolina1.32-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.22Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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6.65Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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3.38University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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5.01Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.86College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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6.5George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.48U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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8.44Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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10.13Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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7.7University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.1%1st Place
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9.43Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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11.58North Carolina State University0.850.0%1st Place
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10.39University of South Carolina1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 11.8% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 24.2% | 21.1% | 15.6% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 11.0% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Miranda Bakos | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Hughes | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 4.4% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 16.2% |
| Simone Staff | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 11.7% |
| Kara Wheeler | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 16.8% | 40.0% |
| Margaux Bacro-Duverger | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 13.8% | 20.8% | 17.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.