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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.74+5.19vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+1.31vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.05+5.38vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+1.43vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.61+1.77vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.21-0.94vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.58-0.50vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.50+1.89vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.60-2.22vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina1.32+0.57vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-3.26vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.33-4.46vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University0.85-1.47vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.71-4.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.19Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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3.31University of Rhode Island3.840.3%1st Place
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8.38Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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5.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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6.77Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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5.06Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.5George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.89Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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6.78College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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10.57University of South Carolina1.320.0%1st Place
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7.74University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.1%1st Place
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7.54U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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11.53North Carolina State University0.850.0%1st Place
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9.3Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Rachel Bryer | 26.4% | 19.9% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Victoria McGruer | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 4.6% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 9.5% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Sarah Williams | 11.2% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Miranda Bakos | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 16.8% | 15.2% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Margaux Bacro-Duverger | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 18.6% | 20.9% |
| Simone Staff | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 3.1% |
| Hannah Hughes | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.2% |
| Kara Wheeler | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 16.9% | 39.4% |
| Amanda Attardi | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.