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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+2.39vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.60+4.46vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.74+3.28vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+1.44vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.61+1.83vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.50+4.16vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.33+0.21vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.58-1.30vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-1.31vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.05-1.51vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina1.32-0.45vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.21-7.03vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.71-3.70vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University0.85-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39University of Rhode Island3.840.3%1st Place
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6.46College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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6.28Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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6.83Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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10.16Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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7.21U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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6.7George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.69University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.1%1st Place
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8.49Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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10.55University of South Carolina1.320.0%1st Place
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4.97Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.3Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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11.53North Carolina State University0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 25.3% | 22.3% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.9% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 17.3% |
| Hannah Hughes | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Miranda Bakos | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Simone Staff | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Victoria McGruer | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 4.6% |
| Margaux Bacro-Duverger | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 14.2% | 16.9% | 21.5% |
| Sarah Williams | 12.1% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Attardi | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 9.1% |
| Kara Wheeler | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 10.2% | 18.2% | 38.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.