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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology0.83+2.54vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.81+0.36vs Predicted
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3McGill University-0.01+1.47vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.29-1.05vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.04-2.76vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-0.97-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54Rochester Institute of Technology0.830.1%1st Place
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2.36Cornell University1.810.3%1st Place
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4.47McGill University-0.010.1%1st Place
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2.95Queen's University1.290.2%1st Place
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2.24Fordham University2.040.3%1st Place
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5.44Penn State University-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Kowalyshyn | 10.1% | 15.9% | 18.5% | 27.3% | 22.3% | 5.9% |
| Alison Love | 30.6% | 27.6% | 22.9% | 13.2% | 5.3% | 0.4% |
| Simon Li | 5.3% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 16.4% | 41.5% | 21.5% |
| Spencer Stubbins | 17.9% | 19.6% | 26.7% | 23.9% | 9.4% | 2.5% |
| Alex Reynolds | 34.7% | 29.1% | 19.3% | 12.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Daniel Drummond | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 6.7% | 18.0% | 68.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.