Race 11A

charleston-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Rachel Bryer 25.3% 19.8% 16.6% 12.4% 8.9% 7.7% 4.0% 2.4% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Victoria McGruer 4.2% 4.4% 4.9% 5.1% 7.2% 5.9% 7.9% 10.5% 8.9% 12.2% 12.2% 10.9% 5.7%
Rosalind Lesh 9.3% 12.8% 11.3% 10.7% 10.5% 11.8% 9.9% 7.7% 6.4% 6.0% 2.1% 1.2% 0.3%
Hannah Hughes 5.4% 5.2% 6.9% 7.4% 8.3% 8.7% 7.6% 11.4% 10.3% 9.2% 9.4% 6.9% 3.3%
Miranda Bakos 7.9% 7.8% 8.1% 8.8% 10.4% 8.3% 9.4% 9.7% 9.5% 8.8% 6.1% 3.4% 1.8%
Sarah Williams 13.7% 13.6% 12.8% 13.7% 11.4% 8.4% 9.4% 5.4% 5.3% 2.9% 1.8% 1.5% 0.1%
Rebekah Schiff 7.7% 8.2% 8.9% 8.4% 8.1% 11.4% 9.0% 9.3% 9.4% 7.9% 6.9% 3.5% 1.3%
Mary Kate Mezzetti 8.5% 9.2% 9.1% 9.7% 9.1% 9.9% 10.9% 9.9% 8.1% 6.7% 5.5% 2.8% 0.6%
Anna Huebschmann 2.0% 3.9% 2.8% 3.6% 3.1% 3.8% 5.7% 5.2% 8.0% 9.1% 16.8% 19.0% 17.0%
Simone Staff 5.9% 6.0% 5.6% 7.1% 8.5% 8.3% 8.6% 8.7% 9.6% 11.0% 9.7% 7.1% 3.9%
Margaux Bacro-Duverger 1.8% 1.5% 2.6% 2.9% 4.6% 5.1% 4.2% 6.4% 7.5% 9.3% 13.8% 21.4% 18.9%
Adelaide Ferguson 7.1% 6.4% 8.9% 8.6% 8.1% 8.7% 10.6% 10.0% 9.6% 9.2% 6.4% 4.4% 2.0%
Kara Wheeler 1.2% 1.2% 1.5% 1.6% 1.8% 2.0% 2.8% 3.4% 5.6% 6.9% 9.1% 17.8% 45.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.