Race 12A

charleston-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sarah Williams 13.7% 12.9% 14.1% 10.8% 11.4% 9.2% 9.7% 6.8% 5.4% 2.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Miranda Bakos 6.4% 6.8% 8.4% 9.5% 10.0% 10.4% 8.1% 9.0% 9.8% 10.1% 6.6% 4.0% 0.9%
Anna Huebschmann 2.3% 1.9% 2.0% 3.4% 3.9% 4.5% 6.8% 7.2% 7.7% 8.9% 16.0% 18.8% 16.6%
Adelaide Ferguson 7.4% 7.9% 7.7% 8.5% 8.9% 10.0% 10.0% 10.2% 9.4% 9.0% 5.3% 4.2% 1.5%
Rebekah Schiff 7.9% 7.3% 8.9% 8.9% 9.6% 9.3% 8.9% 10.7% 8.7% 8.7% 6.4% 3.2% 1.5%
Rosalind Lesh 11.4% 11.9% 11.5% 11.8% 9.6% 10.6% 8.9% 7.8% 6.7% 5.2% 2.9% 1.4% 0.3%
Simone Staff 6.4% 6.2% 6.7% 6.6% 7.9% 7.9% 8.5% 9.4% 9.8% 11.4% 9.0% 7.6% 2.6%
Rachel Bryer 24.6% 21.5% 16.1% 12.7% 9.9% 6.5% 3.8% 2.6% 1.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Margaux Bacro-Duverger 1.9% 2.8% 2.8% 2.2% 3.5% 3.8% 3.6% 5.4% 7.2% 9.3% 12.6% 22.7% 22.2%
Hannah Hughes 6.1% 5.5% 6.4% 6.9% 7.9% 7.8% 10.3% 10.1% 9.4% 10.6% 8.9% 6.7% 3.4%
Mary Kate Mezzetti 7.2% 10.0% 10.1% 11.4% 9.0% 10.3% 10.9% 8.9% 8.4% 5.7% 4.7% 2.2% 1.2%
Victoria McGruer 3.8% 4.4% 3.8% 5.4% 6.9% 6.6% 8.0% 8.5% 10.5% 11.4% 14.0% 10.5% 6.2%
Kara Wheeler 0.9% 0.9% 1.5% 1.9% 1.5% 3.1% 2.5% 3.4% 5.8% 6.0% 11.0% 18.0% 43.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.