Race 13A

charleston-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Rachel Bryer 24.0% 21.0% 17.4% 11.6% 8.7% 7.1% 5.4% 2.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Sarah Williams 12.5% 14.2% 13.8% 11.6% 11.6% 9.9% 8.0% 7.1% 5.3% 3.4% 1.7% 0.9% 0.0%
Adelaide Ferguson 6.3% 7.4% 8.7% 10.3% 9.0% 9.7% 8.7% 10.4% 9.6% 7.8% 6.4% 4.6% 1.1%
Hannah Hughes 4.9% 7.0% 5.5% 7.1% 9.4% 8.0% 9.0% 10.4% 10.2% 8.4% 9.8% 7.0% 3.3%
Simone Staff 6.5% 5.5% 6.3% 7.0% 7.9% 8.7% 8.5% 6.8% 11.3% 11.7% 9.3% 6.9% 3.6%
Mary Kate Mezzetti 9.4% 8.5% 9.2% 10.8% 7.9% 10.7% 11.4% 8.4% 7.9% 7.1% 5.1% 2.8% 0.8%
Rosalind Lesh 11.6% 13.4% 11.0% 9.4% 10.6% 11.8% 8.6% 7.6% 7.3% 4.2% 2.7% 1.5% 0.3%
Anna Huebschmann 2.6% 2.6% 3.4% 2.8% 3.9% 4.1% 4.8% 7.9% 7.7% 11.5% 13.6% 19.9% 15.2%
Rebekah Schiff 7.1% 6.5% 8.1% 9.3% 10.3% 9.0% 9.2% 11.2% 7.8% 8.1% 7.2% 4.3% 1.9%
Victoria McGruer 5.2% 4.7% 4.8% 4.3% 7.4% 7.0% 9.2% 8.0% 10.1% 10.3% 11.7% 11.3% 6.0%
Margaux Bacro-Duverger 1.8% 1.7% 2.5% 3.6% 4.4% 3.6% 4.8% 5.9% 7.0% 10.5% 14.7% 19.1% 20.4%
Miranda Bakos 7.2% 6.2% 8.1% 10.3% 6.8% 8.4% 9.7% 9.6% 10.2% 9.9% 6.4% 5.2% 2.0%
Kara Wheeler 0.9% 1.3% 1.2% 1.9% 2.1% 2.0% 2.7% 4.1% 4.6% 6.3% 11.0% 16.5% 45.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.