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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.73+4.17vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.67+3.22vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.76+2.15vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.37-0.33vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+2.30vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.52-0.07vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.45-1.18vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.15+1.51vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.74-0.91vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-3.17vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy1.87-3.28vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.36-2.91vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina-0.27-0.78vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University-1.15-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.17College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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5.22George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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5.15Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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3.67University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
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7.3University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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5.93Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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5.82Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.51Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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8.09Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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6.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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7.72U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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9.09Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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12.22University of South Carolina-0.270.0%1st Place
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13.26North Carolina State University-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 10.5% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 10.7% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 21.8% | 18.9% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Sarah De Silva | 8.9% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Emily Petno | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Salomon | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 22.8% | 13.2% | 3.1% |
| Amanda Stapp | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 0.6% |
| Greta Farrell | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Mary Robertson | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| Samara Leith | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 17.0% | 9.7% | 1.8% |
| Katherine Bozzuti | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 11.4% | 42.4% | 26.7% |
| McKenna Marquart | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 5.3% | 20.6% | 66.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.