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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.67+4.35vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+4.95vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.73+2.21vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.76+1.17vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.52+0.95vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.37-2.24vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.45-1.25vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.87-0.39vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.74-0.84vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.15-0.27vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.36-1.87vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-5.24vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-1.15+0.23vs Predicted
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14University of South Carolina-0.27-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.35George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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6.95University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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5.21College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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5.17Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.95Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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3.76University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
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5.75Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.61U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
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8.16Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.73Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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9.13Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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6.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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13.23North Carolina State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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12.24University of South Carolina-0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah McNomee | 10.1% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ginger Luckey | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 11.1% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah De Silva | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 21.3% | 17.3% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Petno | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Mary Robertson | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Amanda Stapp | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Sophie Salomon | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 15.6% | 23.7% | 12.8% | 2.7% |
| Samara Leith | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 18.0% | 10.2% | 1.6% |
| Greta Farrell | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| McKenna Marquart | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 17.5% | 69.3% |
| Katherine Bozzuti | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 10.8% | 44.6% | 24.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.