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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.37+2.71vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.45+3.90vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.60+2.68vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.76+1.29vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+2.39vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.52-0.02vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.15+2.41vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.87-0.32vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.36+0.23vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.74-1.74vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.67-5.40vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina-0.27+0.38vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-1.15+0.25vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-8.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
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5.9Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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5.68College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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5.29Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.39University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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5.98Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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9.41Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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7.68U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
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9.23Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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8.26Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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5.6George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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12.38University of South Carolina-0.270.0%1st Place
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13.25North Carolina State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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5.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Hermus | 20.9% | 20.9% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Petno | 8.0% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Mary Dahl | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Rose Edwards | 9.9% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ginger Luckey | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Sarah De Silva | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Salomon | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 23.2% | 12.6% | 1.3% |
| Mary Robertson | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Samara Leith | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 17.8% | 17.8% | 9.1% | 1.6% |
| Amanda Stapp | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Hannah McNomee | 10.1% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Bozzuti | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 10.8% | 45.8% | 26.8% |
| McKenna Marquart | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 19.6% | 68.6% |
| Annie Hughes | 11.4% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.