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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+4.32vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.87+5.58vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.73+2.36vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.76+1.34vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+2.41vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.45+0.25vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.74+0.94vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.15+1.60vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.67-3.38vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.36-0.72vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina-0.27+1.38vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.37-8.24vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.52-7.10vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University-1.15-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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7.58U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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5.36College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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5.34Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.41University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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6.25Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.94Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.6Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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5.62George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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9.28Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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12.38University of South Carolina-0.270.0%1st Place
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3.76University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
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5.9Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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13.26North Carolina State University-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Hughes | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mary Robertson | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 11.3% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 10.4% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ginger Luckey | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Emily Petno | 8.8% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Stapp | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Sophie Salomon | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 23.0% | 12.9% | 3.2% |
| Hannah McNomee | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Samara Leith | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 16.4% | 18.5% | 10.0% | 1.8% |
| Katherine Bozzuti | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 12.1% | 43.7% | 27.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 20.3% | 18.9% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah De Silva | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Marquart | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 5.2% | 20.7% | 66.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.