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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.37+2.71vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.76+3.04vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.45+3.11vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.74+4.15vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.67+0.61vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-0.55vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.52-1.36vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.60-2.37vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.87-1.13vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-2.65vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.15-1.27vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina-0.27+0.35vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.36-3.93vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University-1.15-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
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5.04Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.11Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.15Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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5.61George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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5.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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5.64Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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5.63College of Charleston2.600.1%1st Place
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7.87U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
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7.35University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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9.73Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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12.35University of South Carolina-0.270.0%1st Place
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9.07Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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13.28North Carolina State University-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Hermus | 22.3% | 18.3% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 11.8% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Petno | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Stapp | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Hannah McNomee | 8.4% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 10.5% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah De Silva | 9.5% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mary Dahl | 10.7% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mary Robertson | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Ginger Luckey | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Sophie Salomon | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 24.5% | 12.4% | 2.8% |
| Katherine Bozzuti | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 12.9% | 44.5% | 26.3% |
| Samara Leith | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 18.2% | 9.6% | 1.9% |
| McKenna Marquart | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 20.9% | 67.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.