Race 8B

charleston-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Emily Petno 7.4% 9.8% 9.0% 10.0% 9.5% 9.7% 9.7% 8.6% 8.2% 7.8% 5.4% 4.0% 0.9% 0.0%
Mary Robertson 4.5% 5.4% 6.6% 7.0% 7.1% 7.6% 7.0% 7.7% 11.9% 10.9% 12.6% 8.3% 3.2% 0.2%
Mary Dahl 10.3% 10.6% 10.3% 9.6% 8.8% 10.0% 9.0% 8.6% 8.7% 7.0% 4.7% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
Ginger Luckey 4.9% 6.4% 5.9% 6.2% 8.3% 7.5% 10.3% 8.6% 11.1% 10.6% 8.8% 8.8% 2.3% 0.3%
Sarah De Silva 7.7% 9.8% 8.7% 10.8% 10.6% 8.2% 9.1% 11.0% 8.9% 6.7% 4.6% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Rose Edwards 10.9% 9.3% 11.9% 11.3% 10.0% 10.9% 10.8% 6.3% 7.4% 5.1% 4.5% 1.4% 0.1% 0.1%
Sophie Salomon 2.5% 2.8% 3.3% 3.2% 5.4% 4.3% 4.4% 4.8% 5.9% 11.0% 16.7% 21.4% 12.1% 2.2%
Sarah Hermus 22.9% 18.3% 14.5% 11.7% 8.6% 8.0% 6.7% 4.9% 2.0% 2.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Hannah McNomee 9.6% 10.4% 11.3% 9.7% 10.7% 10.3% 8.8% 9.5% 7.9% 5.4% 4.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Amanda Stapp 3.9% 3.6% 4.3% 5.5% 5.2% 7.7% 6.2% 10.4% 8.9% 13.0% 12.9% 12.9% 4.5% 1.0%
Annie Hughes 11.5% 10.1% 10.7% 10.1% 11.1% 9.9% 9.4% 9.0% 6.8% 4.7% 4.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Samara Leith 2.7% 2.7% 2.9% 3.8% 3.8% 4.5% 6.5% 8.0% 8.7% 12.5% 13.1% 18.9% 10.0% 1.9%
Katherine Bozzuti 0.9% 0.6% 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.8% 1.6% 1.7% 2.9% 2.2% 5.4% 11.5% 43.5% 26.9%
McKenna Marquart 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.6% 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 1.1% 2.9% 4.2% 20.9% 67.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.