← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University2.67+4.33vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.45+3.81vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston2.73+2.23vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island3.37-0.34vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University2.76+0.29vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University2.52-0.13vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-0.08vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-1.29vs Predicted
-
9Eckerd College1.15+0.66vs Predicted
-
10Fordham University1.74-1.83vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Naval Academy1.87-3.28vs Predicted
-
12University of South Carolina-0.27+0.34vs Predicted
-
13Christopher Newport University1.36-3.99vs Predicted
-
14North Carolina State University-1.15-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.33George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
-
5.81Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
-
5.23College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
-
3.66University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
-
5.29Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
-
5.87Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
-
6.92University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
-
6.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
-
9.66Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
-
8.17Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
-
7.72U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
-
12.34University of South Carolina-0.270.0%1st Place
-
9.01Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
-
13.27North Carolina State University-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah McNomee | 11.0% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Petno | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 11.7% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 20.4% | 20.2% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 9.5% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah De Silva | 9.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Greta Farrell | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Salomon | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 15.9% | 23.0% | 11.6% | 3.1% |
| Amanda Stapp | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 5.0% | 0.8% |
| Mary Robertson | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Katherine Bozzuti | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 11.1% | 45.6% | 26.2% |
| Samara Leith | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 17.3% | 8.3% | 2.0% |
| McKenna Marquart | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 21.1% | 66.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.