Race 10B

charleston-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Annie Hughes 10.6% 10.8% 12.8% 10.3% 9.9% 11.0% 9.8% 7.4% 6.9% 4.5% 3.6% 1.5% 0.9% 0.0%
Emily Petno 8.4% 10.1% 8.4% 9.4% 10.4% 9.3% 10.3% 9.2% 9.2% 7.4% 4.7% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Hannah McNomee 10.3% 11.2% 9.4% 9.6% 10.8% 9.6% 10.9% 9.0% 7.5% 6.5% 3.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Elizabeth Pemberton 9.6% 10.4% 11.1% 12.0% 10.2% 10.3% 9.7% 7.8% 7.0% 6.8% 2.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Sarah Hermus 18.7% 17.8% 17.3% 11.9% 9.9% 8.2% 6.8% 4.2% 2.9% 1.2% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Ginger Luckey 5.7% 5.0% 5.0% 6.9% 7.6% 9.0% 8.2% 10.0% 9.5% 10.3% 11.4% 8.3% 2.8% 0.3%
Sarah De Silva 10.5% 9.5% 10.1% 9.8% 10.2% 9.8% 9.2% 8.8% 8.3% 7.4% 3.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
Rose Edwards 11.3% 12.1% 10.3% 11.0% 11.1% 9.5% 7.2% 9.0% 7.4% 5.5% 3.6% 1.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Amanda Stapp 4.8% 3.4% 4.0% 4.5% 5.7% 5.4% 7.3% 9.3% 11.5% 14.1% 13.9% 9.8% 5.7% 0.6%
Mary Robertson 4.2% 4.4% 4.8% 6.3% 6.6% 7.4% 8.1% 9.1% 9.8% 11.5% 12.6% 11.0% 3.7% 0.5%
Katherine Bozzuti 0.2% 0.4% 0.9% 0.8% 0.6% 1.0% 1.4% 1.5% 1.7% 2.1% 6.5% 11.1% 44.0% 27.8%
Sophie Salomon 2.4% 2.1% 2.5% 2.4% 3.0% 4.4% 4.5% 7.1% 7.9% 10.3% 15.5% 23.3% 12.0% 2.6%
Samara Leith 3.1% 2.6% 3.1% 4.7% 3.8% 4.7% 6.0% 7.0% 9.3% 11.3% 15.2% 20.3% 7.3% 1.6%
McKenna Marquart 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 2.2% 4.6% 21.7% 66.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.