Race 11B

charleston-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Annie Hughes 10.9% 12.0% 11.1% 11.4% 7.4% 12.7% 9.3% 7.8% 6.7% 3.6% 4.3% 2.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Mary Robertson 4.6% 6.8% 5.1% 6.3% 7.1% 5.8% 7.6% 8.4% 11.0% 13.7% 12.3% 7.9% 3.3% 0.1%
Ginger Luckey 5.8% 5.9% 7.7% 7.0% 6.8% 6.6% 7.4% 10.6% 11.3% 11.3% 10.2% 7.1% 2.1% 0.2%
Amanda Stapp 3.2% 4.1% 5.5% 5.1% 6.8% 8.0% 6.5% 8.1% 8.9% 11.0% 15.5% 12.0% 4.7% 0.6%
Hannah McNomee 9.3% 10.6% 10.9% 10.6% 9.6% 8.8% 11.7% 8.4% 6.8% 7.1% 3.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Sarah Hermus 21.6% 15.8% 15.2% 13.1% 9.7% 8.4% 6.4% 4.1% 3.2% 1.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Rose Edwards 12.5% 13.5% 11.1% 8.8% 12.7% 10.0% 7.6% 8.7% 6.2% 4.5% 2.7% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Katherine Bozzuti 0.8% 0.2% 0.8% 1.1% 0.9% 1.2% 1.6% 1.9% 3.3% 3.9% 4.3% 11.6% 41.3% 27.1%
Mary Dahl 9.5% 8.5% 9.7% 11.1% 10.5% 9.2% 10.3% 9.4% 8.5% 6.7% 3.7% 2.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Sarah De Silva 8.6% 8.2% 10.7% 9.9% 8.9% 9.1% 10.3% 7.7% 10.1% 7.4% 4.9% 3.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Sophie Salomon 1.6% 2.1% 1.8% 3.2% 3.4% 4.9% 5.0% 7.2% 6.3% 9.0% 15.5% 23.2% 13.9% 2.9%
Samara Leith 2.8% 2.5% 2.6% 3.5% 4.3% 5.2% 5.7% 8.0% 9.2% 11.4% 14.7% 18.2% 10.5% 1.4%
Emily Petno 8.4% 9.7% 7.6% 8.7% 11.3% 9.7% 10.3% 8.6% 7.6% 7.8% 5.8% 3.4% 1.0% 0.1%
McKenna Marquart 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3% 1.1% 0.9% 1.2% 1.4% 5.2% 20.7% 67.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.