Race 12B

charleston-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ginger Luckey 4.8% 6.4% 6.7% 6.9% 8.1% 8.2% 8.1% 9.2% 10.9% 10.5% 10.1% 7.7% 1.9% 0.5%
Mary Robertson 4.2% 6.6% 5.3% 6.4% 6.8% 6.7% 8.7% 8.0% 10.6% 12.7% 11.3% 9.8% 2.8% 0.1%
Annie Hughes 11.0% 11.9% 10.2% 10.4% 9.5% 9.0% 8.9% 11.2% 7.7% 5.1% 3.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Amanda Stapp 3.6% 3.5% 5.7% 5.5% 6.2% 7.1% 7.3% 7.6% 10.2% 10.7% 14.9% 11.4% 5.5% 0.8%
Sarah Hermus 19.5% 18.5% 16.7% 11.7% 10.1% 8.9% 4.9% 4.7% 3.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sarah De Silva 9.9% 7.0% 10.0% 8.4% 10.4% 9.1% 11.7% 9.0% 8.1% 6.6% 6.3% 3.1% 0.2% 0.2%
Hannah McNomee 11.8% 11.8% 9.6% 11.1% 10.6% 10.4% 8.7% 8.6% 8.1% 4.6% 3.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Rose Edwards 12.3% 11.8% 10.7% 11.2% 10.7% 8.8% 9.1% 6.7% 7.5% 6.7% 2.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Emily Petno 8.5% 6.8% 8.3% 9.9% 9.5% 10.3% 10.9% 9.6% 9.6% 8.0% 4.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
Mary Dahl 8.6% 9.4% 10.5% 11.3% 8.5% 10.1% 10.0% 9.4% 8.4% 6.2% 4.3% 2.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Katherine Bozzuti 0.2% 0.3% 0.7% 1.1% 0.6% 1.5% 1.3% 0.9% 0.9% 3.8% 5.2% 11.1% 44.7% 27.7%
Sophie Salomon 2.4% 2.3% 2.9% 1.7% 3.6% 4.5% 4.9% 6.5% 6.3% 11.3% 14.3% 25.1% 11.7% 2.5%
Samara Leith 2.9% 3.5% 2.7% 3.9% 4.8% 5.1% 4.9% 7.6% 8.1% 11.5% 16.2% 18.8% 8.5% 1.5%
McKenna Marquart 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.6% 1.0% 0.6% 1.1% 2.5% 3.6% 22.4% 66.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.