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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.73+4.37vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.76+3.21vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+2.50vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.37-0.18vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.87+3.03vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.52+0.16vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.45-0.96vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.67-2.35vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.74-0.65vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-2.43vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.77-2.73vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina-0.27+0.45vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.36-3.73vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University-1.15-0.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.37College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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5.21Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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3.82University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
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8.03U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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6.16Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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6.04Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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5.65George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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8.35Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.57University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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8.27Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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12.45University of South Carolina-0.270.0%1st Place
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9.27Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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13.33North Carolina State University-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 10.0% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Rose Edwards | 11.6% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 11.6% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 19.3% | 18.9% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Robertson | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Sarah De Silva | 8.6% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Emily Petno | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 5.3% | 0.7% |
| Ginger Luckey | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Hana Zwick | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Katherine Bozzuti | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 9.7% | 48.2% | 27.2% |
| Samara Leith | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 20.9% | 9.9% | 2.4% |
| McKenna Marquart | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 22.0% | 67.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.