Race 14B

charleston-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Elizabeth Pemberton 10.1% 11.7% 11.6% 10.9% 9.6% 10.8% 8.2% 8.0% 7.4% 4.2% 4.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Rose Edwards 11.7% 12.4% 10.5% 10.5% 10.2% 10.7% 9.3% 8.0% 6.8% 4.4% 3.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Sarah Hermus 19.8% 19.2% 14.1% 12.8% 9.0% 9.3% 6.0% 5.1% 3.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Sarah De Silva 7.8% 9.5% 9.3% 9.0% 9.1% 9.8% 10.9% 8.1% 8.5% 8.1% 5.5% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Ginger Luckey 4.4% 5.4% 6.5% 6.4% 7.0% 7.8% 7.9% 10.0% 9.1% 10.6% 12.6% 9.2% 2.5% 0.6%
Annie Hughes 9.8% 9.7% 11.1% 10.1% 11.2% 10.4% 8.0% 8.7% 7.0% 5.6% 5.6% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Emily Petno 9.3% 8.9% 8.8% 9.5% 9.6% 7.8% 10.1% 8.5% 10.3% 7.2% 5.4% 3.6% 0.9% 0.1%
Amanda Stapp 4.9% 3.4% 5.1% 5.3% 5.7% 5.9% 6.7% 7.8% 9.9% 11.4% 10.6% 16.1% 6.4% 0.8%
Hana Zwick 4.8% 3.1% 4.8% 4.2% 5.3% 6.1% 7.3% 8.3% 11.3% 12.6% 13.1% 12.7% 5.7% 0.7%
Hannah McNomee 9.4% 9.3% 9.2% 11.5% 10.8% 9.2% 9.7% 10.3% 7.1% 6.6% 4.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Mary Robertson 4.6% 4.2% 4.0% 6.4% 7.6% 6.5% 7.2% 8.0% 10.0% 12.1% 11.8% 12.9% 4.1% 0.6%
Samara Leith 2.1% 2.5% 4.3% 2.2% 3.9% 4.1% 7.1% 7.4% 7.0% 11.9% 15.0% 20.0% 10.5% 2.0%
Katherine Bozzuti 1.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 1.3% 0.8% 1.2% 1.9% 3.1% 5.7% 9.5% 45.2% 27.6%
McKenna Marquart 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.8% 0.6% 0.7% 1.2% 1.8% 4.0% 21.9% 67.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.