← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Victoria0.25+2.82vs Predicted
-
2University of Victoria0.59+1.22vs Predicted
-
3University of Victoria0.50+0.37vs Predicted
-
4University of Victoria0.50-0.60vs Predicted
-
5University of Victoria0.93-2.10vs Predicted
-
6University of British Columbia-0.11-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.82University of Victoria0.250.1%1st Place
-
3.22University of Victoria0.590.2%1st Place
-
3.37University of Victoria0.500.2%1st Place
-
3.4University of Victoria0.500.2%1st Place
-
2.9University of Victoria0.930.3%1st Place
-
4.3University of British Columbia-0.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria Isberg | 11.5% | 15.1% | 15.9% | 16.7% | 19.3% | 21.5% |
| Dylan Shaver | 19.7% | 19.5% | 17.7% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 11.0% |
| Leh Smallshaw | 16.9% | 17.9% | 17.3% | 19.1% | 16.5% | 12.3% |
| Alexander Brown | 17.5% | 16.1% | 17.9% | 18.9% | 16.9% | 12.7% |
| Ted Alley | 25.7% | 21.2% | 20.0% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 8.6% |
| Laura Stewart | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 19.8% | 33.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.