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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.09+4.08vs Predicted
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2Northern Michigan University-0.15+2.79vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.02+1.35vs Predicted
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4Hillsdale College1.04-1.64vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-0.44+0.16vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-0.85-0.09vs Predicted
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7Hope College-0.57-0.98vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.68+0.17vs Predicted
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9University of Toledo-1.26-1.63vs Predicted
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10Western Michigan University-1.73-1.82vs Predicted
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11Miami University-2.37-1.48vs Predicted
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12Saginaw Valley State University-3.47-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.08Ohio State University0.098.8%1st Place
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4.79Northern Michigan University-0.159.8%1st Place
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4.35Purdue University0.0211.4%1st Place
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2.36Hillsdale College1.0438.0%1st Place
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5.16Michigan State University-0.448.7%1st Place
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5.91Grand Valley State University-0.857.0%1st Place
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6.02Hope College-0.576.3%1st Place
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8.17Michigan State University-1.682.4%1st Place
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7.37University of Toledo-1.263.2%1st Place
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8.18Western Michigan University-1.733.0%1st Place
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9.52Miami University-2.370.9%1st Place
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11.09Saginaw Valley State University-3.470.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Williams | 8.8% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Marco Constantini | 9.8% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Alex Day | 11.4% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 16.6% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Arden Carleton | 38.0% | 24.5% | 17.3% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Dodge | 8.7% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Carly Irwin | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Jack Rutherford | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| George Prokop | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 18.4% | 17.5% | 6.3% |
| Kassidy Kennedy | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 2.5% |
| Keegan Aerts | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 20.1% | 17.9% | 5.1% |
| Tiegan Witte | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 16.8% | 30.4% | 18.1% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 14.1% | 66.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.