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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.92+9.74vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.61+5.60vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.40+5.49vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.62+3.66vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.35+3.59vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.80+0.80vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.70+4.90vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.62-0.43vs Predicted
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9Brandeis University1.35+9.17vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University3.31-1.09vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.41+2.56vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy2.81-0.62vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University3.26-3.65vs Predicted
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16Bates College1.67+0.88vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut1.81-0.45vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.65-5.84vs Predicted
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19Middlebury College1.87-3.03vs Predicted
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20University of New Hampshire1.65-2.89vs Predicted
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21Connecticut College2.67-9.25vs Predicted
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22McGill University1.60-4.98vs Predicted
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23Williams College1.47-4.94vs Predicted
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24Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.95-4.15vs Predicted
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25Tufts University3.37-16.49vs Predicted
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26Amherst College2.01-10.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.920.0%1st Place
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7.6Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
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8.49Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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7.66University of Rhode Island3.620.1%1st Place
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8.59Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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6.8Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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11.9Bowdoin College2.700.0%1st Place
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7.57Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
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18.17Brandeis University1.350.0%1st Place
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8.91Salve Regina University3.310.1%1st Place
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13.56Harvard University2.410.0%1st Place
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11.38Maine Maritime Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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9.35Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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16.88Bates College1.670.0%1st Place
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16.55University of Connecticut1.810.0%1st Place
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12.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.650.0%1st Place
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15.97Middlebury College1.870.0%1st Place
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17.11University of New Hampshire1.650.0%1st Place
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11.75Connecticut College2.670.0%1st Place
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17.02McGill University1.600.0%1st Place
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18.06Williams College1.470.0%1st Place
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19.85Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.950.0%1st Place
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8.51Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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15.45Amherst College2.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rian Bareuther | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Carmody | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Johnson | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Billy Rohman | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Bernie Roesler | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Verdeja | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 14.2% |
| Matthew Schon | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Byrne | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Christopher Poole | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Cason | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% |
| Brian Pracon | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 4.6% |
| Steven Drapcho | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Benjamin Brown | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% |
| Christopher Edwards | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.8% |
| Max Rollins | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Leif Macdonald | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 9.4% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.7% |
| Robert Pierce | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 16.3% | 28.9% |
| William Hutchings | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Black | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.