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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+3.66vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.38+4.49vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.97+1.83vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.45+2.39vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.73+0.70vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.72-0.42vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook2.59-1.06vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.81+0.27vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.90-3.97vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology0.91+0.72vs Predicted
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11University of Miami1.82-2.70vs Predicted
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12Miami University1.00-1.30vs Predicted
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13Tulane University1.34-3.26vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-0.88vs Predicted
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15University of Notre Dame-1.83-0.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.66Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.2%1st Place
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6.49Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.83Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.39Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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5.7College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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5.58Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
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5.94SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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8.27University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
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5.03College of Charleston2.900.1%1st Place
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10.72Georgia Institute of Technology0.910.0%1st Place
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8.3University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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10.7Miami University1.000.0%1st Place
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9.74Tulane University1.340.0%1st Place
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13.12SUNY Stony Brook-0.400.0%1st Place
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14.51University of Notre Dame-1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Hanna | 15.4% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 14.1% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 9.6% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Darcy Jensen | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Charles Morano | 11.3% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stuart Wallace | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 17.0% | 21.3% | 13.7% | 1.7% |
| Kyle Magno | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Madison Eger | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 15.8% | 25.0% | 11.1% | 0.9% |
| Nick Watts | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 17.1% | 15.7% | 6.3% | 0.8% |
| Micayla Beyer | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 13.0% | 48.6% | 17.6% |
| Thomas Yaeger Jr | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 12.6% | 78.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.