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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.38+5.53vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.72+3.49vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook2.59+2.90vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+0.74vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.97-0.01vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.45+0.39vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.82+1.22vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.73-2.47vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.90-4.00vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology0.91+0.74vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.81-2.67vs Predicted
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12Miami University1.00-1.28vs Predicted
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13Tulane University1.34-3.21vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-0.88vs Predicted
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15University of Notre Dame-1.83-0.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.49Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
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5.9SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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4.74Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.1%1st Place
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4.99Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.39Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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8.22University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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5.53College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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5.0College of Charleston2.900.1%1st Place
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10.74Georgia Institute of Technology0.910.0%1st Place
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8.33University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
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10.72Miami University1.000.0%1st Place
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9.79Tulane University1.340.0%1st Place
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13.12SUNY Stony Brook-0.400.0%1st Place
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14.51University of Notre Dame-1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lawless | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 9.6% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 8.8% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John Hanna | 14.8% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 13.8% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Morano | 12.0% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stuart Wallace | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 22.5% | 13.6% | 1.6% |
| Darcy Jensen | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Madison Eger | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 18.2% | 23.7% | 11.4% | 0.8% |
| Nick Watts | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 14.3% | 18.9% | 15.2% | 6.7% | 0.8% |
| Micayla Beyer | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 13.3% | 48.7% | 17.4% |
| Thomas Yaeger Jr | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 12.9% | 78.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.