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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.72+4.50vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.38+4.48vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+1.62vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.81+4.30vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.45+1.44vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.97-1.17vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.73-1.52vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook2.59-2.06vs Predicted
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9University of Miami1.82-0.85vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology0.91+0.82vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.90-5.84vs Predicted
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12Miami University1.00-1.25vs Predicted
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13University of Notre Dame0.29-0.67vs Predicted
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14Tulane University0.47-2.19vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.5Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
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6.48Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.62Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.2%1st Place
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8.3University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
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6.44Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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4.83Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.48College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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5.94SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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8.15University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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10.82Georgia Institute of Technology0.910.0%1st Place
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5.16College of Charleston2.900.1%1st Place
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10.75Miami University1.000.0%1st Place
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12.33University of Notre Dame0.290.0%1st Place
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11.81Tulane University0.470.0%1st Place
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13.39SUNY Stony Brook-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| John Hanna | 15.2% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Darcy Jensen | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| John Silvestri | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Robby Gearon | 13.3% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 11.3% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Stuart Wallace | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 17.0% | 14.4% | 7.3% |
| Charles Morano | 12.1% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Madison Eger | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 18.1% | 17.2% | 13.1% | 5.0% |
| Kevin Kinneally | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 18.1% | 23.7% | 22.2% |
| Malcolm Kriegel | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 16.8% | 20.8% | 15.5% |
| Micayla Beyer | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 11.1% | 19.9% | 48.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.