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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.73+4.40vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+2.55vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.38+3.47vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.45+2.32vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.90+0.08vs Predicted
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6Miami University1.00+4.57vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.72-1.49vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.97-3.14vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology0.91+1.77vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.81-1.64vs Predicted
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11Tulane University0.47+0.85vs Predicted
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12University of Miami1.82-3.56vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook2.59-6.83vs Predicted
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14University of Notre Dame0.29-1.77vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.4College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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4.55Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.2%1st Place
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6.47Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.32Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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5.08College of Charleston2.900.1%1st Place
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10.57Miami University1.000.0%1st Place
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5.51Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
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4.86Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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10.77Georgia Institute of Technology0.910.0%1st Place
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8.36University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
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11.85Tulane University0.470.0%1st Place
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8.44University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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6.17SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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12.23University of Notre Dame0.290.0%1st Place
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13.42SUNY Stony Brook-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 11.7% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| John Hanna | 15.9% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Charles Morano | 12.0% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Madison Eger | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 16.5% | 13.6% | 5.2% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 11.2% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 13.3% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stuart Wallace | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 17.0% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 5.4% |
| Darcy Jensen | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Malcolm Kriegel | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 17.2% | 21.7% | 16.9% |
| Kyle Magno | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Kinneally | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 11.7% | 17.2% | 25.3% | 19.6% |
| Micayla Beyer | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 10.6% | 17.1% | 51.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.