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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.72+4.63vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook2.59+3.89vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.81+5.38vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.38+2.71vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.73+0.73vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.90-0.87vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.97-2.11vs Predicted
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8University of Miami1.82+0.36vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.34+0.82vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame0.29+2.49vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.45-4.49vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology0.91-0.82vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04-8.02vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-0.38vs Predicted
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15Miami University1.00-4.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
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5.89SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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8.38University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
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6.71Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.73College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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5.13College of Charleston2.900.1%1st Place
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4.89Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.36University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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9.82Tulane University1.340.0%1st Place
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12.49University of Notre Dame0.290.0%1st Place
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6.51Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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11.18Georgia Institute of Technology0.910.0%1st Place
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4.98Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.1%1st Place
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13.62SUNY Stony Brook-0.400.0%1st Place
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10.69Miami University1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 8.8% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Darcy Jensen | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Daniel Lawless | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Charles Morano | 12.9% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 14.1% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Nick Watts | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 2.8% |
| Kevin Kinneally | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 9.5% | 15.4% | 26.7% | 25.3% |
| John Silvestri | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Stuart Wallace | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 19.1% | 17.9% | 8.1% |
| John Hanna | 12.6% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Micayla Beyer | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 17.5% | 55.7% |
| Madison Eger | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 17.4% | 17.4% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.