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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+3.74vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.72+3.50vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.90+2.09vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.81+4.41vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.38+1.74vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.73-0.36vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.34+2.79vs Predicted
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8University of Miami1.82+0.42vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook2.59-2.99vs Predicted
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10Miami University1.00+0.79vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.97-5.97vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology0.91-0.80vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.45-6.31vs Predicted
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14University of Notre Dame0.29-1.61vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.2%1st Place
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5.5Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
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5.09College of Charleston2.900.1%1st Place
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8.41University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
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6.74Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.64College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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9.79Tulane University1.340.0%1st Place
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8.42University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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6.01SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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10.79Miami University1.000.0%1st Place
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5.03Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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11.2Georgia Institute of Technology0.910.0%1st Place
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6.69Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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12.39University of Notre Dame0.290.0%1st Place
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13.56SUNY Stony Brook-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Hanna | 15.4% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 10.3% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charles Morano | 12.4% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Darcy Jensen | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Daniel Lawless | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 10.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nick Watts | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 4.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Madison Eger | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 17.7% | 15.1% | 7.2% |
| Robby Gearon | 13.8% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stuart Wallace | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 19.3% | 18.2% | 8.5% |
| John Silvestri | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Kinneally | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 16.0% | 26.1% | 23.2% |
| Micayla Beyer | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 19.2% | 54.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.