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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+3.61vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.73+3.45vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.45+3.27vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.97+0.81vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook2.59+1.04vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.72-0.45vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.90-1.96vs Predicted
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8University of Miami1.82+0.21vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.81-0.75vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University2.38-3.33vs Predicted
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11Miami University1.00-0.40vs Predicted
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12Tulane University0.47+0.03vs Predicted
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13Georgia Institute of Technology0.91-2.08vs Predicted
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14University of Notre Dame0.29-1.82vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.61Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.2%1st Place
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5.45College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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6.27Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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4.81Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.04SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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5.55Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
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5.04College of Charleston2.900.1%1st Place
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8.21University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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8.25University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
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6.67Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.6Miami University1.000.0%1st Place
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12.03Tulane University0.470.0%1st Place
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10.92Georgia Institute of Technology0.910.0%1st Place
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12.18University of Notre Dame0.290.0%1st Place
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13.38SUNY Stony Brook-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Hanna | 15.2% | 16.1% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 9.2% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 14.7% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Morano | 12.8% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Darcy Jensen | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Daniel Lawless | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Madison Eger | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 11.6% | 7.7% |
| Malcolm Kriegel | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 20.7% | 22.0% | 15.5% |
| Stuart Wallace | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 17.0% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 8.6% |
| Kevin Kinneally | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 17.1% | 23.9% | 18.9% |
| Micayla Beyer | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 20.5% | 47.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.