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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.38+5.51vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+2.59vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.97+1.83vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.73+1.53vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.72+0.65vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.90-0.94vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.45-0.68vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook2.59-2.03vs Predicted
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9University of Miami1.82-0.85vs Predicted
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10Tulane University0.47+1.85vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.81-2.73vs Predicted
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12Miami University1.00-1.26vs Predicted
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13University of Notre Dame0.29-0.63vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology0.91-3.24vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.51Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.59Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.1%1st Place
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4.83Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.53College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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5.65Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
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5.06College of Charleston2.900.1%1st Place
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6.32Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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5.97SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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8.15University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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11.85Tulane University0.470.0%1st Place
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8.27University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
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10.74Miami University1.000.0%1st Place
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12.37University of Notre Dame0.290.0%1st Place
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10.76Georgia Institute of Technology0.910.0%1st Place
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13.4SUNY Stony Brook-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lawless | 8.9% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| John Hanna | 13.7% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 13.4% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Morano | 11.7% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Malcolm Kriegel | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 18.0% | 21.1% | 15.9% |
| Darcy Jensen | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Madison Eger | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 18.1% | 17.3% | 12.4% | 5.1% |
| Kevin Kinneally | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 17.9% | 24.5% | 22.5% |
| Stuart Wallace | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 16.7% | 16.5% | 13.6% | 6.1% |
| Micayla Beyer | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 12.0% | 19.2% | 48.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.