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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.73+4.60vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+2.65vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.97+1.94vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.82+4.37vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.34+4.86vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.72-0.35vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.90-1.97vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook2.59-1.92vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University2.38-2.38vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.81-1.43vs Predicted
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11University of Notre Dame0.29+1.45vs Predicted
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12Miami University1.00-1.05vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.45-6.27vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology0.91-3.02vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.6College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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4.65Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.1%1st Place
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4.94Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.37University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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9.86Tulane University1.340.0%1st Place
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5.65Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
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5.03College of Charleston2.900.1%1st Place
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6.08SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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6.62Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.57University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
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12.45University of Notre Dame0.290.0%1st Place
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10.95Miami University1.000.0%1st Place
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6.73Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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10.98Georgia Institute of Technology0.910.0%1st Place
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13.55SUNY Stony Brook-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| John Hanna | 13.8% | 16.6% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 13.2% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Nick Watts | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 10.2% | 3.5% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Morano | 13.6% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Lawless | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Darcy Jensen | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Kevin Kinneally | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 10.6% | 16.3% | 25.3% | 24.4% |
| Madison Eger | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 16.3% | 16.8% | 7.2% |
| John Silvestri | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Stuart Wallace | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 17.8% | 19.2% | 6.9% |
| Micayla Beyer | 0.4% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 9.2% | 16.7% | 56.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.