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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Maine Maritime Academy2.81+10.31vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.41+11.60vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.62+4.55vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University3.26+5.35vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.61+2.37vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.62+1.62vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.80-0.23vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University1.35+10.29vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.70+2.60vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.67+2.03vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.40-2.43vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.92-1.18vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College1.87+3.31vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.35-5.42vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut1.81+1.56vs Predicted
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16Williams College1.47+1.91vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University3.31-8.16vs Predicted
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19University of New Hampshire1.65-1.82vs Predicted
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20Bates College1.67-3.43vs Predicted
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21Amherst College2.01-5.87vs Predicted
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22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.65-9.69vs Predicted
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23McGill University1.60-5.71vs Predicted
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25Tufts University3.37-16.47vs Predicted
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26Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.95-6.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.31Maine Maritime Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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13.6Harvard University2.410.0%1st Place
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7.55University of Rhode Island3.620.1%1st Place
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9.35Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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7.37Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
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7.62Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
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6.77Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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18.29Brandeis University1.350.0%1st Place
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11.6Bowdoin College2.700.0%1st Place
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12.03Connecticut College2.670.0%1st Place
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8.57Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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10.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.920.0%1st Place
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16.31Middlebury College1.870.0%1st Place
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8.58Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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16.56University of Connecticut1.810.0%1st Place
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17.91Williams College1.470.0%1st Place
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8.84Salve Regina University3.310.1%1st Place
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17.18University of New Hampshire1.650.0%1st Place
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16.57Bates College1.670.0%1st Place
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15.13Amherst College2.010.0%1st Place
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12.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.650.0%1st Place
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17.29McGill University1.600.0%1st Place
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8.53Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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19.93Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Poole | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Byrne | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Carmody | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bernie Roesler | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Verdeja | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 16.1% |
| Billy Rohman | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Max Rollins | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rian Bareuther | 4.7% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Brown | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% |
| Matt Johnson | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brian Pracon | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 4.5% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 11.4% |
| Matthew Schon | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Edwards | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 12.6% | 8.8% |
| Christopher Cason | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% |
| Tyler Black | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% |
| Steven Drapcho | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Leif Macdonald | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.3% |
| William Hutchings | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Pierce | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 30.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.