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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Robby Gearon 13.2% 14.4% 13.6% 12.6% 10.3% 8.8% 8.3% 6.7% 4.9% 4.1% 2.1% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Darcy Jensen 3.8% 6.2% 4.5% 6.2% 6.2% 5.6% 8.2% 9.1% 12.4% 12.5% 12.2% 7.8% 4.1% 1.2%
Karl Rasmus Sayre 11.6% 9.8% 10.3% 10.1% 10.0% 10.0% 9.6% 10.4% 6.9% 6.8% 3.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
John Hanna 13.2% 15.1% 12.2% 11.3% 12.0% 10.7% 8.2% 6.8% 4.6% 4.0% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Kyle Magno 3.3% 3.7% 4.7% 6.3% 6.8% 7.5% 6.0% 9.4% 11.8% 12.2% 13.8% 9.6% 4.0% 0.9%
Vidar Minkovsky 8.8% 7.8% 9.7% 9.6% 10.4% 11.4% 9.9% 8.5% 8.2% 7.3% 5.2% 2.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Charles Morano 14.8% 12.0% 13.8% 10.9% 10.1% 10.6% 8.0% 8.0% 5.3% 3.4% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Elizabeth Pemberton 11.6% 11.0% 10.5% 9.2% 9.8% 10.7% 9.6% 8.4% 7.3% 6.5% 4.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
John Silvestri 7.9% 7.3% 8.6% 8.2% 9.2% 9.0% 11.6% 10.7% 9.4% 9.0% 5.5% 2.2% 1.2% 0.2%
Malcolm Kriegel 1.3% 1.0% 1.6% 1.5% 1.3% 1.2% 1.9% 2.8% 6.0% 7.1% 11.8% 19.6% 25.4% 17.5%
Madison Eger 1.6% 2.2% 1.3% 2.6% 2.7% 2.8% 5.3% 5.4% 7.1% 9.6% 15.6% 20.5% 17.4% 5.9%
Kevin Kinneally 0.3% 0.9% 1.3% 1.5% 1.8% 1.4% 1.8% 2.4% 3.6% 5.6% 11.5% 19.5% 25.3% 23.1%
Micayla Beyer 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.3% 1.0% 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 2.7% 2.9% 5.8% 10.9% 20.5% 51.2%
Daniel Lawless 7.9% 7.8% 7.5% 9.7% 8.4% 9.7% 10.5% 10.3% 9.8% 9.0% 5.4% 3.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.