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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.90+3.88vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.72+3.28vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.38+3.37vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook2.59+1.87vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.82+3.04vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.45+0.31vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.73-1.82vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04-3.38vs Predicted
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9Miami University1.00+1.18vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.97-5.16vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.40+1.75vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.81-3.96vs Predicted
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13Tulane University0.47-1.86vs Predicted
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14University of Notre Dame0.29-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.88College of Charleston2.900.1%1st Place
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5.28Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
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6.37Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.87SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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8.04University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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6.31Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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5.18College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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4.62Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.1%1st Place
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10.18Miami University1.000.0%1st Place
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4.84Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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12.75SUNY Stony Brook-0.400.0%1st Place
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8.04University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
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11.14Tulane University0.470.0%1st Place
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11.5University of Notre Dame0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Morano | 13.6% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 11.4% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| John Silvestri | 8.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 11.4% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| John Hanna | 13.9% | 16.0% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madison Eger | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 11.8% | 17.6% | 20.2% | 15.7% | 6.7% |
| Robby Gearon | 11.9% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Micayla Beyer | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 9.7% | 19.3% | 55.2% |
| Darcy Jensen | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Malcolm Kriegel | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 20.2% | 27.4% | 14.0% |
| Kevin Kinneally | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 11.8% | 17.8% | 25.9% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.