Race 1B

eckerd-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Sam Shannon 17.7% 15.7% 14.4% 14.1% 9.8% 9.4% 7.1% 3.6% 5.1% 1.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Dahl 16.9% 16.4% 13.8% 12.7% 11.4% 10.4% 8.4% 5.0% 2.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Kelly Stukbauer 4.1% 4.9% 5.2% 5.6% 7.1% 6.5% 8.1% 10.1% 11.4% 13.2% 12.0% 6.8% 4.0% 1.0%
Stephan VerHulst 6.3% 7.6% 10.1% 9.5% 10.2% 10.6% 11.6% 9.1% 10.5% 8.4% 3.1% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Samuel Normington 10.4% 12.9% 11.3% 13.7% 10.8% 11.2% 9.6% 8.9% 4.7% 3.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Robert Porter 13.9% 12.8% 14.0% 12.0% 11.9% 11.0% 8.2% 7.3% 4.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Alex Moreno 14.9% 16.1% 13.5% 12.3% 11.5% 10.8% 8.9% 6.8% 2.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Geoffrey Calderone 1.6% 2.2% 3.2% 2.1% 3.8% 4.1% 4.1% 6.4% 9.2% 10.6% 13.6% 14.2% 15.9% 9.0%
Harris Cram 3.8% 2.5% 4.0% 4.9% 5.4% 6.5% 9.6% 11.0% 11.1% 14.1% 12.7% 8.0% 5.1% 1.3%
Alexander Thompson 4.2% 4.3% 5.3% 6.2% 8.2% 8.1% 10.9% 11.2% 12.3% 10.5% 10.1% 5.4% 2.6% 0.7%
Darby Reddaway 2.6% 2.1% 1.9% 3.0% 4.5% 4.9% 6.7% 9.1% 9.6% 12.5% 14.2% 15.1% 10.2% 3.6%
Jessica Kurlander 0.4% 0.3% 0.8% 0.3% 1.0% 1.3% 1.2% 2.2% 2.3% 2.9% 6.2% 9.8% 17.1% 54.2%
Max Burson 2.2% 1.4% 1.2% 1.2% 2.8% 2.7% 3.1% 4.9% 6.7% 9.1% 13.1% 19.2% 18.3% 14.1%
Katherine Schneeberger 1.0% 0.8% 1.3% 2.4% 1.6% 2.5% 2.5% 4.4% 7.7% 7.2% 9.6% 17.3% 25.7% 16.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.