← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University2.51+3.40vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University2.63+2.03vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College2.34+1.82vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston2.49+0.53vs Predicted
-
5Jacksonville University1.88+1.19vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston2.60-1.70vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida1.23+0.60vs Predicted
-
8Georgia Institute of Technology0.72+1.11vs Predicted
-
9University of Miami0.40+1.06vs Predicted
-
10Texas A&M University at Galveston1.39-2.53vs Predicted
-
11Tulane University1.12-2.79vs Predicted
-
12Miami University0.10-1.26vs Predicted
-
13SUNY Stony Brook-0.92-0.46vs Predicted
-
14University of Notre Dame-0.09-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.4Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
-
4.03Salve Regina University2.630.2%1st Place
-
4.82Eckerd College2.340.1%1st Place
-
4.53College of Charleston2.490.1%1st Place
-
6.19Jacksonville University1.880.1%1st Place
-
4.3College of Charleston2.600.2%1st Place
-
7.6University of South Florida1.230.0%1st Place
-
9.11Georgia Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
-
10.06University of Miami0.400.0%1st Place
-
7.47Texas A&M University at Galveston1.390.0%1st Place
-
8.21Tulane University1.120.0%1st Place
-
10.74Miami University0.100.0%1st Place
-
12.54SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.0%1st Place
-
11.02University of Notre Dame-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Moreno | 14.4% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Shannon | 17.7% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Normington | 13.5% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Porter | 13.2% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Mary Dahl | 15.6% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Darby Reddaway | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 4.5% |
| Geoffrey Calderone | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 15.8% | 7.6% |
| Alexander Thompson | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Harris Cram | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 1.5% |
| Max Burson | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 15.1% | 18.3% | 17.6% | 14.5% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 9.4% | 17.0% | 54.2% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 25.8% | 15.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.