Race 3B

eckerd-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Alex Moreno 14.9% 13.5% 12.5% 14.7% 12.0% 9.8% 9.0% 6.0% 4.4% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Stephan VerHulst 7.3% 7.6% 9.2% 8.5% 10.9% 11.6% 11.6% 10.8% 9.1% 7.7% 4.1% 1.2% 0.4%
Samuel Normington 11.8% 11.3% 12.8% 12.4% 11.6% 12.2% 10.3% 7.8% 5.0% 3.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sam Shannon 16.2% 15.9% 15.2% 13.1% 10.8% 10.3% 8.6% 4.8% 3.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2%
Mary Dahl 17.1% 16.2% 12.3% 12.4% 12.2% 11.1% 7.3% 5.6% 2.9% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Robert Porter 14.0% 15.9% 13.3% 11.3% 13.9% 9.5% 7.7% 6.6% 4.4% 2.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Kelly Stukbauer 5.4% 4.0% 5.9% 6.3% 6.2% 6.4% 9.1% 12.3% 13.2% 11.9% 12.0% 6.0% 1.3%
Alexander Thompson 4.8% 5.8% 5.5% 6.5% 6.6% 8.4% 10.7% 12.9% 13.7% 10.0% 9.7% 4.7% 0.7%
Darby Reddaway 2.6% 3.1% 3.0% 4.2% 3.8% 4.4% 6.1% 8.6% 11.6% 15.3% 16.5% 14.7% 6.1%
Max Burson 1.2% 1.4% 2.4% 2.4% 1.9% 3.2% 3.2% 5.5% 8.0% 10.9% 15.5% 27.2% 17.2%
Geoffrey Calderone 1.4% 1.5% 2.4% 2.9% 3.8% 5.0% 5.6% 6.8% 10.1% 14.8% 17.3% 19.2% 9.2%
Harris Cram 3.0% 3.3% 5.0% 4.7% 5.5% 6.9% 9.5% 10.8% 11.1% 15.2% 13.5% 9.5% 2.0%
Jessica Kurlander 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 1.2% 1.3% 1.5% 3.2% 3.2% 7.6% 16.6% 62.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.