Race 4B

eckerd-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Kelly Stukbauer 3.5% 4.2% 4.4% 6.1% 7.3% 7.4% 10.0% 11.0% 12.1% 14.8% 11.8% 6.1% 1.3%
Stephan VerHulst 6.5% 9.2% 10.2% 8.1% 9.4% 12.1% 11.1% 10.8% 10.0% 7.1% 3.6% 1.3% 0.6%
Mary Dahl 14.9% 15.7% 13.5% 14.5% 12.6% 9.0% 8.3% 5.8% 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.1%
Samuel Normington 13.0% 11.1% 13.6% 11.3% 13.2% 10.3% 8.1% 9.6% 5.5% 2.8% 1.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Alex Moreno 16.7% 13.6% 12.6% 14.6% 10.9% 9.3% 10.0% 6.1% 3.0% 2.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Geoffrey Calderone 1.2% 2.7% 2.4% 2.8% 3.2% 3.7% 4.9% 6.8% 9.7% 13.8% 19.4% 19.9% 9.5%
Robert Porter 15.4% 13.8% 13.8% 13.0% 10.9% 9.9% 9.0% 7.1% 4.1% 1.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Sam Shannon 17.3% 15.6% 15.1% 11.0% 12.3% 11.0% 7.4% 4.8% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Harris Cram 3.1% 5.4% 4.0% 5.1% 5.3% 7.0% 7.4% 11.5% 11.6% 15.4% 12.9% 8.9% 2.4%
Alexander Thompson 5.1% 5.1% 5.2% 6.4% 7.7% 9.1% 11.0% 11.7% 13.0% 10.9% 8.5% 4.8% 1.5%
Darby Reddaway 1.9% 2.3% 3.1% 4.6% 5.0% 6.1% 7.5% 7.7% 13.1% 15.3% 15.1% 13.4% 4.9%
Max Burson 0.8% 1.1% 2.0% 1.7% 1.6% 3.4% 4.2% 5.3% 8.4% 8.0% 16.6% 28.2% 18.7%
Jessica Kurlander 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.8% 0.6% 1.7% 1.1% 1.8% 2.8% 4.8% 7.8% 16.8% 60.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.