Race 5B

eckerd-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Stephan VerHulst 7.7% 8.0% 9.5% 8.8% 10.8% 9.9% 12.5% 9.7% 7.7% 7.2% 4.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
Darby Reddaway 2.2% 2.9% 3.4% 4.1% 3.1% 6.5% 6.7% 7.8% 11.3% 12.6% 13.8% 12.7% 9.5% 3.4%
Kelly Stukbauer 4.8% 4.5% 4.7% 6.5% 6.3% 6.2% 8.2% 11.1% 11.1% 13.7% 11.5% 7.6% 3.0% 0.8%
Samuel Normington 11.9% 11.9% 13.5% 11.5% 12.2% 9.9% 8.6% 8.1% 6.5% 4.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Sam Shannon 16.3% 15.9% 13.7% 13.3% 9.5% 10.6% 9.1% 5.3% 3.5% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Robert Porter 13.5% 13.4% 13.5% 12.8% 11.6% 11.6% 6.9% 7.1% 4.2% 2.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Mary Dahl 16.9% 17.2% 13.3% 12.3% 13.0% 9.6% 6.0% 6.1% 2.7% 2.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Geoffrey Calderone 1.5% 2.5% 2.5% 3.7% 3.3% 3.7% 4.8% 5.7% 7.9% 11.4% 12.7% 17.2% 14.5% 8.6%
Alex Moreno 13.2% 13.7% 14.5% 10.8% 12.7% 11.4% 9.6% 6.1% 3.8% 1.9% 1.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Katherine Schneeberger 1.6% 1.0% 1.2% 1.6% 1.1% 1.8% 2.9% 3.9% 5.9% 7.0% 11.6% 16.2% 24.6% 19.6%
Alexander Thompson 4.6% 4.2% 4.6% 6.7% 8.1% 8.6% 9.4% 11.5% 12.5% 11.1% 8.6% 6.6% 3.0% 0.5%
Harris Cram 3.5% 3.5% 3.3% 5.1% 5.4% 6.7% 9.5% 11.2% 14.0% 11.1% 10.8% 7.6% 6.8% 1.5%
Max Burson 1.8% 1.0% 1.6% 1.8% 2.4% 2.3% 4.5% 4.6% 6.3% 8.6% 13.6% 17.7% 21.4% 12.4%
Jessica Kurlander 0.5% 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 0.5% 1.2% 1.3% 1.8% 2.6% 4.2% 7.4% 9.6% 15.9% 53.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.