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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.63+3.13vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.34+2.68vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.60+1.19vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.49+0.53vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.88+1.17vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.51-1.52vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.23+0.61vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.40+1.93vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology0.72+0.27vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University at Galveston1.39-2.52vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.12-2.79vs Predicted
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12Miami University0.10-1.27vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.92-0.47vs Predicted
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14University of Notre Dame-0.09-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.13Salve Regina University2.630.2%1st Place
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4.68Eckerd College2.340.1%1st Place
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4.19College of Charleston2.600.2%1st Place
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4.53College of Charleston2.490.1%1st Place
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6.17Jacksonville University1.880.1%1st Place
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4.48Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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7.61University of South Florida1.230.0%1st Place
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9.93University of Miami0.400.0%1st Place
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9.27Georgia Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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7.48Texas A&M University at Galveston1.390.0%1st Place
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8.21Tulane University1.120.0%1st Place
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10.73Miami University0.100.0%1st Place
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12.53SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.0%1st Place
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11.05University of Notre Dame-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Shannon | 16.3% | 17.0% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Normington | 13.6% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mary Dahl | 16.8% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Porter | 13.5% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Alex Moreno | 14.8% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Geoffrey Calderone | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 17.1% | 8.3% |
| Darby Reddaway | 3.0% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 3.8% |
| Alexander Thompson | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Harris Cram | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 1.3% |
| Max Burson | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 15.5% | 19.2% | 16.5% | 14.5% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 9.8% | 16.5% | 54.4% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 25.7% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.