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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.63+3.00vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.60+2.05vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.49+1.36vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.23+3.51vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.51-0.75vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Galveston0.68+2.71vs Predicted
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7University of Miami0.40+2.35vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.88-2.34vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.12-1.22vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.34-5.36vs Predicted
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11Miami University0.10-1.00vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-0.92-0.14vs Predicted
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13Georgia Institute of Technology0.72-4.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0Salve Regina University2.630.2%1st Place
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4.05College of Charleston2.600.2%1st Place
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4.36College of Charleston2.490.1%1st Place
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7.51University of South Florida1.230.0%1st Place
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4.25Boston University2.510.2%1st Place
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8.71Texas A&M University at Galveston0.680.0%1st Place
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9.35University of Miami0.400.0%1st Place
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5.66Jacksonville University1.880.1%1st Place
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7.78Tulane University1.120.0%1st Place
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4.64Eckerd College2.340.1%1st Place
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10.0Miami University0.100.0%1st Place
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11.86SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.0%1st Place
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8.83Georgia Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Shannon | 17.4% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Dahl | 16.4% | 16.6% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Porter | 13.4% | 14.6% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 1.4% |
| Alex Moreno | 15.1% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dean Bethel | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 4.9% |
| Geoffrey Calderone | 2.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 17.8% | 21.4% | 8.7% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Harris Cram | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 1.9% |
| Samuel Normington | 13.6% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Max Burson | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 12.9% | 17.9% | 23.4% | 14.1% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 13.2% | 62.8% |
| Darby Reddaway | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 17.9% | 12.3% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.