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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.88+4.82vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.34+2.72vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.63+0.98vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.51+0.25vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.60-0.93vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.49-1.68vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University at Galveston0.68+1.64vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.40+1.38vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.12-1.22vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.23-2.54vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology0.72-2.46vs Predicted
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12Miami University0.10-1.80vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.92-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.82Jacksonville University1.880.1%1st Place
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4.72Eckerd College2.340.1%1st Place
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3.98Salve Regina University2.630.2%1st Place
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4.25Boston University2.510.2%1st Place
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4.07College of Charleston2.600.2%1st Place
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4.32College of Charleston2.490.1%1st Place
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8.64Texas A&M University at Galveston0.680.0%1st Place
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9.38University of Miami0.400.0%1st Place
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7.78Tulane University1.120.0%1st Place
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7.46University of South Florida1.230.1%1st Place
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8.54Georgia Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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10.2Miami University0.100.0%1st Place
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11.85SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephan VerHulst | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Normington | 10.9% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Shannon | 17.3% | 15.1% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alex Moreno | 15.3% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mary Dahl | 17.7% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Robert Porter | 14.0% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dean Bethel | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 4.1% |
| Geoffrey Calderone | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 18.4% | 20.8% | 7.3% |
| Harris Cram | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 2.5% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| Darby Reddaway | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 4.8% |
| Max Burson | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 17.1% | 24.0% | 18.4% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 15.7% | 59.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.