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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.4
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.62+6.49vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.61+5.60vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.80+3.66vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.40+4.68vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.41+8.32vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.70+6.11vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.35+1.84vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University3.31+1.01vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University3.26-1.24vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.92-0.16vs Predicted
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12Amherst College2.01+3.59vs Predicted
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13Bates College1.67+3.95vs Predicted
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14Brandeis University1.35+4.58vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.65+1.93vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.37-8.26vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut1.81-1.59vs Predicted
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19Middlebury College1.87-3.05vs Predicted
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20Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.65-7.70vs Predicted
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21Connecticut College2.67-9.28vs Predicted
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22Williams College1.47-4.42vs Predicted
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23University of Rhode Island3.62-15.44vs Predicted
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24McGill University1.60-6.70vs Predicted
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25Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.95-5.34vs Predicted
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26Maine Maritime Academy2.81-14.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.49Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
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7.6Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
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6.66Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.68Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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13.32Harvard University2.410.0%1st Place
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12.11Bowdoin College2.700.0%1st Place
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8.84Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.01Salve Regina University3.310.1%1st Place
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8.76Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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10.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.920.1%1st Place
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15.59Amherst College2.010.0%1st Place
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16.95Bates College1.670.0%1st Place
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18.58Brandeis University1.350.0%1st Place
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16.93University of New Hampshire1.650.0%1st Place
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8.74Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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16.41University of Connecticut1.810.0%1st Place
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15.95Middlebury College1.870.0%1st Place
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12.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.650.0%1st Place
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11.72Connecticut College2.670.0%1st Place
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17.58Williams College1.470.0%1st Place
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7.56University of Rhode Island3.620.1%1st Place
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17.3McGill University1.600.0%1st Place
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19.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.950.0%1st Place
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11.43Maine Maritime Academy2.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernie Roesler | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Byrne | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Billy Rohman | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Matt Johnson | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schon | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Rian Bareuther | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Black | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Christopher Cason | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.3% |
| Andrea Verdeja | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 15.2% |
| Christopher Edwards | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.7% |
| William Hutchings | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian Pracon | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.6% |
| Benjamin Brown | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% |
| Steven Drapcho | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Max Rollins | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 11.9% |
| Matthew Carmody | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leif Macdonald | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.6% |
| Robert Pierce | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 30.1% |
| Christopher Poole | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.