Race 5A

cedarfest

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Alex Day 12.3% 12.7% 15.4% 14.6% 12.2% 10.7% 8.8% 6.6% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
Arden Carleton 38.2% 24.6% 16.0% 10.0% 6.2% 2.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Marco Constantini 9.8% 13.7% 13.3% 13.0% 12.3% 11.9% 10.2% 7.0% 5.3% 2.4% 1.1% 0.0%
Kassidy Kennedy 4.2% 3.8% 4.8% 6.4% 6.9% 8.6% 10.5% 12.4% 12.2% 16.4% 10.8% 2.9%
Emily Williams 9.4% 12.7% 9.5% 12.2% 11.8% 12.2% 10.3% 8.3% 7.2% 4.8% 1.5% 0.1%
Keegan Beyer 5.1% 5.1% 7.1% 7.2% 8.8% 10.1% 10.7% 13.3% 14.0% 10.4% 6.9% 1.4%
Keegan Aerts 2.8% 3.3% 4.0% 3.8% 4.4% 5.9% 8.3% 9.7% 13.4% 19.5% 18.6% 6.3%
Jack Rutherford 5.2% 6.9% 8.0% 8.5% 9.8% 11.7% 11.6% 12.8% 11.6% 9.3% 4.3% 0.4%
Carly Irwin 6.2% 7.5% 9.5% 10.1% 11.8% 10.1% 10.4% 11.8% 10.3% 9.0% 3.2% 0.2%
Joey Skerbeck 5.3% 8.0% 9.4% 10.7% 11.6% 12.2% 11.6% 10.8% 10.3% 6.2% 3.7% 0.3%
Tiegan Witte 1.1% 1.4% 2.1% 2.8% 3.5% 3.2% 4.6% 5.2% 8.1% 14.6% 35.5% 17.9%
Adam Bryan 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 1.5% 1.5% 2.9% 5.6% 13.9% 70.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.