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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.60+3.08vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.88+3.74vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.34+1.72vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.49+0.42vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.51-0.58vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.40+3.99vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology0.72+1.77vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.23-0.39vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.12-0.94vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.63-5.97vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University at Galveston0.68-1.79vs Predicted
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12University of Notre Dame-0.09-0.98vs Predicted
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13Miami University0.10-2.50vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.92-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08College of Charleston2.600.2%1st Place
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5.74Jacksonville University1.880.1%1st Place
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4.72Eckerd College2.340.1%1st Place
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4.42College of Charleston2.490.1%1st Place
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4.42Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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9.99University of Miami0.400.0%1st Place
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8.77Georgia Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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7.61University of South Florida1.230.1%1st Place
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8.06Tulane University1.120.0%1st Place
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4.03Salve Regina University2.630.2%1st Place
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9.21Texas A&M University at Galveston0.680.0%1st Place
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11.02University of Notre Dame-0.090.0%1st Place
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10.5Miami University0.100.0%1st Place
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12.44SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Dahl | 17.0% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 7.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Normington | 13.4% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Porter | 14.0% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Moreno | 12.6% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Calderone | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 8.8% |
| Darby Reddaway | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 7.5% | 3.1% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Harris Cram | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 11.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Sam Shannon | 16.4% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dean Bethel | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 4.6% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 17.1% | 22.8% | 17.1% |
| Max Burson | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 17.2% | 19.2% | 12.1% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 16.0% | 51.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.